基于层次分析法的海外矿业投资风险评价

Risk assessment of overseas mining investment based on the AHP method

摘要: 矿业投资存在巨大的风险，本文分析了矿业投资中常见的一些风险因素，然后利用层次分析法建立了矿业投资风险评估模型。以在蒙古国进行矿业投资为例用该模型评估矿业投资的风险，评价结果显示在蒙古国进行矿业投资的风险整体较低，不同的风险因素中，政策风险占总风险的比重较大。因此，建议各矿业公司正确评估自身能承受的风险，做出科学决策。

Abstract: There is a huge risk in mining investment, this paper analyzes some common risk factors in mining investment, and then sets up a risk assessment model of mining projects by the AHP method.Taking the mining investment in Mongolia as an example, this model is used to assess the risk of investment, the evaluation results show that the risk of investment is low in Mongolia, and the proportion of policy risk to total risk is larger in different risk factors.It is suggested that the mineral company correctly assess the risks that they can bear and make scientific decisions.