Abstract:
With the massive exploitation of mineral resources, the problem of depletion of mineral resources in China has become increasingly prominent.In this paper, we use the Hubbert's peak model to analyze the maximum production peak of ten non-ferrous metal minerals in China by using the resource reserves data.The results show that:China's antimony ore has reached the peak of Hubbert's peak production in 2014, and the others will reach the peak one by one before 2050.Tin, lead and zinc will reach their Hubbert's peak production by 2030.Correspondingly, cobalt, copper and bauxite will reach the Hubbert's peak production by 2040.Tungsten, nickel and molybdenum will reach the Hubbert's peak production after 2040.The degree of depletion of other non-ferrous metal minerals is higher than the global level except for antimony, molybdenum and nickel.In order to effectively alleviate the depletion of mineral resources in China, this paper proposes four proposals:to enhance the recycling intensity of secondary resources; to increase the intensity of prospecting and exploration, set priority exploration order for different minerals; to increase import volume, broaden import sources; to accelerate the pace of overseas layout and investment.