贾祥英, 闫强, 邢万里, 苗媛媛. 全球大宗矿产资源贸易格局演变及其影响因素分析[J]. 中国矿业, 2019, 28(11): 15-20,34. DOI: 10.12075/j.issn.1004-4051.2019.11.024
    引用本文: 贾祥英, 闫强, 邢万里, 苗媛媛. 全球大宗矿产资源贸易格局演变及其影响因素分析[J]. 中国矿业, 2019, 28(11): 15-20,34. DOI: 10.12075/j.issn.1004-4051.2019.11.024
    JIA Xiangying, YAN Qiang, XING Wanli, MIAO Yuanyuan. The evolution of global trade pattern of bulk mineral resources and its influencing factors[J]. CHINA MINING MAGAZINE, 2019, 28(11): 15-20,34. DOI: 10.12075/j.issn.1004-4051.2019.11.024
    Citation: JIA Xiangying, YAN Qiang, XING Wanli, MIAO Yuanyuan. The evolution of global trade pattern of bulk mineral resources and its influencing factors[J]. CHINA MINING MAGAZINE, 2019, 28(11): 15-20,34. DOI: 10.12075/j.issn.1004-4051.2019.11.024

    全球大宗矿产资源贸易格局演变及其影响因素分析

    The evolution of global trade pattern of bulk mineral resources and its influencing factors

    • 摘要: 中国经济发展已经步入工业化中后期,经济发展增速趋缓,对矿产资源需求也开始逐渐步入峰值区,但中国仍需要消费大量的矿产资源来完成本国工业化。随着国内生态文明建设的推进,国内矿产资源的供应将在一定程度上受到影响,对国际贸易的依赖将会逐渐增加。本文以铁、铜、铝、铅、锌、锰为例,基于复杂网络模型,对1997~2016年全球大宗矿产资源贸易格局演变进行分析,并对其影响因素进行初步探讨。通过分析得出大宗矿产品价格的上涨,并没有对大宗矿产品贸易产生明显的负面影响。因此,维持合理的价格区间,有利于全球大宗矿产资源贸易的可持续发展。不同大宗矿产资源贸易格局演变的影响因素不尽相同,决策者在制定中国矿产资源贸易政策的过程中需要“因矿施政”。

       

      Abstract: China’s economic development has entered the middle and late stages of industrialization.The growth rate of economic development has slowed down and the demand for mineral resources has gradually entered the peak area.However, China still needs to consume a large amount of mineral resources to complete its own industrialization.With the promotion of domestic ecological civilization construction, the supply of domestic mineral resources will be affected to a certain extent.Therefore, the dependence on international trade will gradually increase.Taking iron, copper, aluminum, lead, zinc and manganese as examples, based on the complex network model, this paper analyzes the evolution of the global bulk mineral resources trade pattern from 1997 to 2016, and discusses its influencing factors.It is concluded that the increase of commodity prices has no obvious negative impact on commodity trade, therefore, maintaining a reasonable price range is conducive to the sustainable development of global bulk mineral resources trade.The factors influencing the evolution of trade pattern of different bulk mineral resources are different, the policy makers need to “consider the practical situation” in the process of formulating China’s trade policy on mineral resources.

       

    /

    返回文章
    返回