周国华,姜旻. 科技创新对地热资源可供性的影响研究[J]. 中国矿业,2023,32(9):91-101. DOI: 10.12075/j.issn.1004-4051.20230208
    引用本文: 周国华,姜旻. 科技创新对地热资源可供性的影响研究[J]. 中国矿业,2023,32(9):91-101. DOI: 10.12075/j.issn.1004-4051.20230208
    ZHOU Guohua,JIANG Min. Research on the impact of scientific and technological innovation on the availability of geothermal resources[J]. China Mining Magazine,2023,32(9):91-101. DOI: 10.12075/j.issn.1004-4051.20230208
    Citation: ZHOU Guohua,JIANG Min. Research on the impact of scientific and technological innovation on the availability of geothermal resources[J]. China Mining Magazine,2023,32(9):91-101. DOI: 10.12075/j.issn.1004-4051.20230208

    科技创新对地热资源可供性的影响研究

    Research on the impact of scientific and technological innovation on the availability of geothermal resources

    • 摘要: 地热能是蕴藏在地球内部的岩浆、流体和岩土中的热能,具有清洁、高效等优势。地热资源的开发利用技术难度高、地热产业的发展高度依赖于科技的进步。为了分析地热资源开发利用过程中的科技支撑强度,从科技创新投入和科技创新产出两个方面提炼了影响地热资源领域科技创新水平的四个评价指标,并依托1999—2017年的时间序列数据,运用主成分分析法对地热资源领域科技创新水平进行了科学合理的测度。在此基础上,构建了VAR模型,运用协整检验、脉冲响应和方差分解等实证研究方法揭示了地热资源领域的科技创新和地热资源可供性之间的因果关系、验证了科技创新对地热资源可供性产生的正向、持续的作用机制、探索了地热资源可供性对其自身产生的滞后影响。该研究结论为地热资源的高质量开发利用提供了经验证据,对相关政策建议形成了科学支持。

       

      Abstract: Geothermal energy refers to the energy that is available from the thermal heat stored in the magma, fluids, and rock strata within the earth’s crust, which has the advantage of being clean and efficient. Various technical difficulties exist in the development and utilization of geothermal resources, while the development of geothermal energy industry is highly dependent on the progress of science and technology. In order to study the role of technology in the process of geothermal resource development and utilization, extracts four evaluation indexes affecting the level of scientific and technological innovation in the field of geothermal resources. Based on the time series data spanning 1999-2017, measures the degree of scientific and technological innovation in the field of geothermal resources by utilizing principal component analysis. Based on this, a VAR model is constructed to examine the causal relationship between scientific and technological innovation and geothermal resource availability. Cointegration test, impulse response and variance decomposition are used to verify the positive and persistent mechanism of scientific and technological innovation on geothermal resource availability and to explore the lagging effect of geothermal resource availability on itself. These findings provide empirical evidence for the advancement of high-quality development and utilization of geothermal resources, and form scientific support for relevant policy recommendations.

       

    /

    返回文章
    返回