李沛,陈晖,张博,等. “双碳”背景下煤炭转型相关政策评估研究[J]. 中国矿业,2023,32(7):1-9

    . DOI: 10.12075/j.issn.1004-4051.20230302
    引用本文:

    李沛,陈晖,张博,等. “双碳”背景下煤炭转型相关政策评估研究[J]. 中国矿业,2023,32(7):1-9

    . DOI: 10.12075/j.issn.1004-4051.20230302

    LI Pei,CHEN Hui,ZHANG Bo,et al. Research on policy evaluation of coal transformation under the background of “dual carbon” [J]. China Mining Magazine,2023,32(7):1-9

    . DOI: 10.12075/j.issn.1004-4051.20230302
    Citation:

    LI Pei,CHEN Hui,ZHANG Bo,et al. Research on policy evaluation of coal transformation under the background of “dual carbon” [J]. China Mining Magazine,2023,32(7):1-9

    . DOI: 10.12075/j.issn.1004-4051.20230302

    “双碳”背景下煤炭转型相关政策评估研究

    Research on policy evaluation of coal transformation under the background of “dual carbon”

    • 摘要:

      “双碳”目标对煤炭行业发展提出了新的要求,我国政府相继出台了一系列促进煤炭消费升级的扶持政策。“十四五”时期是碳达峰的关键期和窗口期,外部环境发生重大变化,在“双碳”目标的驱动下,我国“煤为主体”的基本国情决定了煤炭将继续承担能源安全供给兜底的重大使命。因此,做好煤炭转型的政策机制保障尤为重要。通过收集和梳理“双碳”目标提出后的煤炭转型相关政策,选取了与煤炭转型升级紧密相关的49项政策作为研究对象,参照已有的政策研究方法,从政策力度、政策目标、政策措施、政策时效四个维度展开细化研究。基于生产、消费、技术、体制机制层面建立评价指标,通过层次分析赋予各指标权重,建立煤炭转型政策评价体系,使用模糊综合评价法对煤炭转型政策质量加以评价。根据量化结果,煤炭转型相关政策在各个维度的综合评分由高到低依次为生产、消费、技术、体制机制。研究结果表明:在煤炭转型过程中目前政府高度重视煤炭生产层面,其次为煤炭总量控制与强度控制,煤炭转型升级的体制机制相关政策较为薄弱,需要在今后的政策设计中更加关注体制机制层面政策对煤炭消费转型的推动作用。针对现有政策存在的问题,分别从生产、消费、技术、体制机制四个层面提出了相关建议,以期为煤炭转型相关政策体系的构建提供决策参考。

       

      Abstract:

      The “dual carbon” goal has put forward new requirements for coal industry development, and the government has successively introduced a series of support policies to promote the upgrading of coal consumption. The 14th Five Year Plan period is a critical and window period for carbon peaking, and significant changes have taken place in the external environment. Driven by the “dual carbon” goal, the basic national situation of coal as the mainstay determines that coal will continue to undertake the major mission of ensuring energy security and supply. Therefore, it is particularly important to ensure the policy mechanisms for coal transformation. Collects and sorts out the policies related to coal transformation after the “dual carbon” goal is proposed, selects 49 policies closely related to coal transformation and upgrading as research objects, and refers to existing policy research methods to conduct detailed research from four dimensions: policy strength, policy objectives, policy measures, and policy effectiveness. Establishes evaluation indicators based on production, consumption, technology, and institutional mechanisms, assign weights to each indicator through analytic hierarchy process, and establishes an evaluation system for coal transformation policies. Uses fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method to evaluate the quality of coal transformation policies. Based on the quantitative results, the comprehensive scores of coal and carbon related policies in each dimension are from high to low, in order of production, consumption, technology, and institutional mechanisms. The research results show that in the process of coal transformation, the government currently attaches great importance to coal production, followed by coal total quantity control and intensity control. The institutional and mechanism related policies for coal transformation and upgrading are relatively weak, and it is necessary to pay more attention to the role of institutional and mechanism level policies in promoting coal consumption transformation in future policy design. In response to the problems existing in existing policies, relevant suggestions have been proposed from four levels: production, consumption, technology, and institutional mechanisms, in order to provide reference for the construction of policy systems related to coal transformation.

       

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