高佳南,马乐天,白金阳,等. 基于GA-BP神经网络的淋水井筒风温预测模型[J]. 中国矿业,2023,32(11):96-101. DOI: 10.12075/j.issn.1004-4051.20230332
    引用本文: 高佳南,马乐天,白金阳,等. 基于GA-BP神经网络的淋水井筒风温预测模型[J]. 中国矿业,2023,32(11):96-101. DOI: 10.12075/j.issn.1004-4051.20230332
    GAO Jianan,MA Letian,BAI Jinyang,et al. Prediction model of airflow temperature of shaft with water dropping based on GA-BP Neural Network[J]. China Mining Magazine,2023,32(11):96-101. DOI: 10.12075/j.issn.1004-4051.20230332
    Citation: GAO Jianan,MA Letian,BAI Jinyang,et al. Prediction model of airflow temperature of shaft with water dropping based on GA-BP Neural Network[J]. China Mining Magazine,2023,32(11):96-101. DOI: 10.12075/j.issn.1004-4051.20230332

    基于GA-BP神经网络的淋水井筒风温预测模型

    Prediction model of airflow temperature of shaft with water dropping based on GA-BP Neural Network

    • 摘要: 矿井进风井筒井底风温是井下风流热计算的重要节点。为准确预测淋水井筒风温,利用皮尔逊相关系数分析与遗传算法(GA)优化BP神经网络相结合的预测模型。借助皮尔逊相关系数分析筛选其中3个主要特征变量作为BP神经网络的输入变量,利用GA优化BP神经网络的权值和阈值,并与标准BP神经网络预测模型进行比较。研究结果表明,全部特征变量与特征变量筛选输入的标准BP神经网络预测模型的预测结果的平均绝对百分比误差分别为1.25%和2.33%,GA优化BP神经网络预测模型的预测结果的平均绝对百分比误差分别为0.97%和2.21%,GA-BP神经网络预测模型预测精度高于标准BP神经网络预测模型,基于特征变量筛选的预测模型既保持了较高的预测精度,又提高了预测效率。

       

      Abstract: The airflow temperature at the bottom of the mine intake shaft is an important node in the thermal calculation of underground airflow. In order to accurately predict the airflow temperature of shaft with water dropping, this paper utilized Pearson correlation coefficient analysis and genetic algorithm(GA) to optimize the coupling of the method of BP neural network. Using Pearson correlation coefficient analysis, three main feature variables are selected as input variables the BP neural network. GA is used to optimize the weights and thresholds of the BP neural network, and compared with the standard BP neural network prediction model. The research results show that the average absolute percentage errors of the prediction results of the standard BP neural network prediction model with all feature variables as input variables and the standard BP neural network prediction model based on feature variable screening as input variables are 1.25% and 2.33%, respectively, while the average absolute percentage errors of the prediction results of the GA optimized BP neural network prediction model are 0.97% and 2.21%, respectively. The GA-BP neural network prediction model has higher prediction accuracy than the standard BP neural network prediction model. The prediction model based on feature variable optimization maintains high prediction accuracy, it has also improved prediction efficiency.

       

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