樊大磊,王宗礼,李剑,等. 2023年国内外油气资源形势分析及展望[J]. 中国矿业,2024,33(1):30-37

    . DOI: 10.12075/j.issn.1004-4051.20240076
    引用本文:

    樊大磊,王宗礼,李剑,等. 2023年国内外油气资源形势分析及展望[J]. 中国矿业,2024,33(1):30-37

    . DOI: 10.12075/j.issn.1004-4051.20240076

    FAN Dalei,WANG Zongli,LI Jian,et al. Analysis of domestic and international oil and gas resources situation in 2023 and outlook[J]. China Mining Magazine,2024,33(1):30-37

    . DOI: 10.12075/j.issn.1004-4051.20240076
    Citation:

    FAN Dalei,WANG Zongli,LI Jian,et al. Analysis of domestic and international oil and gas resources situation in 2023 and outlook[J]. China Mining Magazine,2024,33(1):30-37

    . DOI: 10.12075/j.issn.1004-4051.20240076

    2023年国内外油气资源形势分析及展望

    Analysis of domestic and international oil and gas resources situation in 2023 and outlook

    • 摘要:

      2023年,世界进入后疫情时代,经济逐渐恢复但仍然疲弱,发达经济体增长放缓,新兴经济体复苏势头明显。俄乌冲突一波未平,巴以冲突风烟再起。地缘政治、金融动荡、脱钩断链、石油减产、能源转型等多重因素叠加,为世界经济增长和油气供需形势带来不确定性。全球石油需求大幅增长,但不足以吸纳美国等非欧佩克产油国持续增加的供给。2023年国际油价不断承压,呈现上半年区间震荡、下半年冲高回落的走势,布伦特(Brent)国际原油现货价格在9月末到达高位后回吐全年涨幅。欧洲天然气消费国开源节流并举,地区供需矛盾缓解,天然气价格大幅回落。我国经济展现出强大韧性,持续回升向好,油气需求大幅回升,油气资源主管部门和石油企业持续加大油气勘探开发力度,努力端牢能源饭碗,持续推进油气找矿突破战略行动,在主要大中型盆地、“四新”领域取得多项重要发现,石油产量达2.09亿t、连续保持在2亿t水平,天然气产量近2 300亿m3,为我国能源供应安全和绿色低碳转型提供了基本保障。

       

      Abstract:

      In 2023, the world entered a post pandemic era, with the economy gradually recovering but still weak, developed economies slowing down in growth, and emerging economies showing significant signs of recovery. The Russia-Ukraine conflict has not been settled, and the conflict between Palestine and Israel has resumed. The combination of multiple factors such as geopolitical, financial turmoil, decoupling and disconnection, oil production reduction, and energy transformation has brought uncertainty to the world economic growth and oil and gas supply and demand situation. The global demand for oil has grown significantly, but it is not enough to absorb the continuously increasing supply from non OPEC oil producing countries such as the United States. International oil prices are constantly under pressure, showing a trend of fluctuating ranges in the first half of the year and rising and falling in the second half. Brent’s international crude oil spot price rebounded from its annual increase after reaching a high point at the end of September. European natural gas consuming countries are simultaneously expanding their sources and reducing costs, easing regional supply-demand conflicts and causing a significant drop in natural gas prices. China’s economy has shown strong resilience, continuously rebounding and improving, with a significant increase in oil and gas demand. The oil and gas resources management department and oil enterprises have continued to increase their efforts in oil and gas exploration and development, striving to secure the energy security, and continuously promoting oil and gas exploration strategies. Oil and gas have made multiple important discoveries in major large and medium-sized basins and four new fields, with oil production reaching 209 million tons, continuously maintaining at the level of 200 million tons, and natural gas production reaching nearly 230 billion cubic meters, providing basic guarantees for China’s energy supply security and green and low-carbon transformation.

       

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