范凤岩, 杜庆坤. 中国钢铁工业经济增长与能源消费响应关系研究[J]. 中国矿业, 2017, 26(3): 28-33.
    引用本文: 范凤岩, 杜庆坤. 中国钢铁工业经济增长与能源消费响应关系研究[J]. 中国矿业, 2017, 26(3): 28-33.
    FAN Fengyan, DU Qingkun. Research on responsive relationship between economic growth and energy consumption of steel industry in China[J]. CHINA MINING MAGAZINE, 2017, 26(3): 28-33.
    Citation: FAN Fengyan, DU Qingkun. Research on responsive relationship between economic growth and energy consumption of steel industry in China[J]. CHINA MINING MAGAZINE, 2017, 26(3): 28-33.

    中国钢铁工业经济增长与能源消费响应关系研究

    Research on responsive relationship between economic growth and energy consumption of steel industry in China

    • 摘要: 钢铁工业在国民经济中所处的重要地位不言而喻,然而钢铁工业的发展也往往伴随着极高的能源消耗。文章首先采用弹性脱钩模型探讨了中国1995~2014年钢铁工业能源消费和经济增长的响应关系,然后运用费雪(Fisher)分解法对钢铁工业能源消费的变化进行分解。研究结果表明,钢铁工业能源消费和行业经济发展的脱钩关系表现出波动→改善→稳定的变化特征,两者的脱钩状态在研究期内以弱脱钩为主;经济增长对钢铁工业能源消费起拉动作用,累积效应为11.054 3,能源强度对钢铁工业的能源消费起抑制作用,累积效应为0.338 5。要实现钢铁工业经济增长和能源消费的绝对脱钩,应推动技术进步,进一步降低能源消费强度,同时优化调整产能结构,提高钢铁工业的能源利用效率。

       

      Abstract: The importance of steel industry in the national economy is self-evident. Its development is also accompanied by high energy consumption. This paper firstly adopted elastic decoupling model to explore the response relationship between energy consumption and economic growth of steel industry in China during 1995~2014, and then use the Fisher decomposition method to decompose the energy consumption change of steel industry. As the results suggest, the decoupling relationship between industrial economic development and energy consumption shows three stage trend of fluctuation-improvement-sable, the decoupling state between them are mainly weak decoupling. Economic growth has a pulling effect on the energy consumption of steel industry with the cumulative effect of 11.054 3 while energy intensity plays an inhibitory role with the cumulative effect of 0.338 5. To achieve absolute decoupling between industrial economic growth and energy consumption, it’s better to promote technological progress for reducing energy consumption intensity, and to adjust capacity structure for improving the energy efficiency of steel industry.

       

    /

    返回文章
    返回