中国钴资源供应风险评价与治理研究

    Risk assessment and governance of cobalt resources supply in China

    • 摘要: 钴是当前我国发展战略性新兴产业所需的重要原料。为了保障中国钴资源供应安全,本文从资源、市场、政治三个角度选取评价指标,运用历史对比和定量评价方法,对供应风险进行评价。计算结果表明:资源保障度低、对外依存度高、再生利用率低、地缘政治风险较大是中国钴资源供应面临的主要风险,钴价大幅波动也是一个必须注意的潜在风险。风险治理建议:政府合理运用收储和投放机制,制定补贴和税收政策,加强与资源国的政府间合作关系;企业加强回收工艺研究,提高资源再生利用率;企业充分利用金融市场,加快海外资源布局;高校和科研院所做好技术储备。

       

      Abstract: Cobalt is one of the important metallic mineral resources for boosting emerging sectors of strategic importance in China.To safeguard the supply of China's cobalt resources,this article is designed to evaluate the supply risks with the methods of historical comparison and quantitative assessment by selecting appropriate indicators from the three aspects of resource,market and politics.The calculations prove that the serious shortage of the existing cobalt resources,the increasing degree of dependence on foreign trade,the low recycling rate,and the great geostrategic risks are the main risk factors.Moreover,the large cobalt price fluctuation is also a potential danger that should be given high priority to.This article also puts forward some practical suggestions.Firstly,the government should reasonably use stockpiling and delivery system to stabilize price fluctuation,make subsidy and tax policies as well as strengthen the intergovernmental cooperation with resources countries.Secondly,enterprises had better develop the technology for recovery to improve the efficiency of recycling.Furthermore,enterprises ought to promote their layout of overseas resources through financial markets.Last but not least,making plenty of technical preparation is the contribution that universities and research institutes can make.

       

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