Peak production of antimony ore in China based on the Hubbert model

Antimony ore is one of the dominant minerals in China.It is mainly used in flame retardants, lead-acid batteries and other fields.At present, it is irreplaceable in the field of flame retardants.In recent years, the demand for antimony resources in China has been increasing day by day, but it is also facing problems such as excessive mining, rampant smuggling and excessive consumption of resources.In this paper, Hubbert production peak prediction model is used to judge the peak value of antimony production and its arrival time.The forecast results show that under the three scenarios of 6.89 million tons, 8.425 million tons and 9.96 million tons of ultimate recoverable resources, the peak output is 137.8 million tons, 156.5 million tons and 176, 000 tons respectively, and the peak arrival time is 2014, 2019 and 2023, respectively.By analyzing the influencing factors of the excessive consumption of antimony resources in China, the countermeasures and suggestions for delaying the consumption of antimony resources are put forward.