Research on the investment scheme design of disruptive energy technology

Disruptive energy technology is the key to achieve the carbon peak and neutrality goals, ensure the orderly connection of old and new energy, and achieve green, low-carbon and high-quality development in China. In the face of the high standards of carbon peak carbon neutrality and the strict requirements of achieving high-quality development, China’s energy system needs to be transformed and connected in an orderly manner. However, how to scientifically invest and design the whole process of disruptive energy technology, and further identify its profitability, market risk and other indicators need to be further explored. This paper reviews the relevant research on disruptive energy technology, and further designs the investment planning scheme, scientific planning and cultivation subject and support direction of disruptive energy technology according to the characteristics of different life cycle stages. On this basis, the SWOT model and DELPHI method are used to establish the subversive energy technology investment planning and design scheme of “three types of technologies, four stages and three steps”. Combined with the political environment, economic environment, technological trends, social needs, existing competitive technologies, potential competitive technologies, industrial chain capabilities of subversive energy technologies, value network maturity, technology types, life cycle, EROI, CROI, NPV and IRR, the process and paradigm of matching subversive energy technology investment schemes are comprehensively proposed. It can provide reference for investment cultivation and market promotion of disruptive energy technology, and provide reference suggestions for relevant government departments to formulate supporting policies.